India · sports · resolves 2026-10-30

Will India finish the Asian Para Games 2026 in the top three nations by medal count by 2026-10-30?

45%chance, per Kāla▼ 4 pts since the last update

Why

Base rate: Historically India has finished outside the top three in Asian Para Games (e.g., 5th in 2023). Latest evidence: In 2026 India posted its best ever haul – 114 medals (30 gold, 35 silver, 49 bronze) and finished the Games with a strong performance, but no source states it placed in the top three overall.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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