India · world · resolves 2026-12-10
Will India’s UN delegation submit a formal complaint about unpaid assessments by 2026-12-10?
45%chance, per Kāla▲ 4 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, only a minority of UN member states (around 20 %) lodge formal complaints about unpaid assessments in any given year. Latest evidence: A recent report (The Hindu, 20 Oct 2026) notes that India has publicly voiced concern over the UN’s liquidity and described unpaid assessments as “unacceptably high,” suggesting a heightened likelihood of a formal complaint.
Based on 4 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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