India · science · resolves 2026-11-20
Will ISRO announce a launch date for the new methane‑fuelled rocket engine test flight before 2026-11-20?
Why
Base rate: Historically, ISRO typically takes several weeks to months after a successful engine test before publicly announcing a specific launch date, so the chance of an announcement within a few weeks is modest (~20%). Latest evidence: As of 24 Oct 2026, news reports only cover the successful methane‑engine ignition tests (19‑20 Oct) and note that the LME‑1100 engine is targeted for readiness by mid‑2027, with no mention of a forthcoming launch‑date announcement.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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