India · science · resolves 2026-12-10
Will ISRO launch a navigation satellite (IRNSS‑X) before 2026-12-10?
86%chance, per Kāla▲ 71 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: ISRO historically launches most scheduled navigation satellites on time, with a success rate above 90 %. Latest evidence: Multiple news items (e.g., Indian Express on Oct 22) report that the delayed IRNSS‑X (NVS‑03) is slated for a launch on Oct 30 2026, well before the Dec 10 deadline. What must still happen: The launch must proceed without a last‑minute technical or weather delay.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-19 · 6 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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