India · science · resolves 2026-12-19
Will ISRO successfully complete the ignition test of its new methane rocket engine on 2026-12-19?
69%chance, per Kāla▼ 12 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: ISRO’s past engine test programs have succeeded about 70 % of the time, with a slightly lower rate for brand‑new propulsion technologies. Latest evidence: No specific public information confirms that the December 19, 2026 ignition test has been delayed, cancelled, or encountered technical setbacks; the only recent news relates to unrelated SpaceX activities.
Based on 1 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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