India · sports · resolves 2026-10-26

Will KL Rahul’s batting performance in the India A vs New Zealand A match on 2026-10-26 be recorded as a double‑century?

6%chance, per Kāla

Why

Base‑rate: Double‑centuries in India A vs New Zealand A four‑day matches are extremely rare (well under 1 % of innings). Latest evidence: On 25 Oct 2026 Rahul was dismissed for a duck and a low score in the first unofficial Test, and he is slated to play only the first match before joining the senior ODI side. What must still happen: He would need to bat again on 26 Oct 2026 and score 200+ runs, which is highly unlikely given his recent form and limited opportunity.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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