India · politics · resolves 2026-11-28
Will Marco Rubio publicly urge India to increase purchases of US and Venezuelan oil by 2026-11-28?
96%chance, per Kāla▼ 1 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, U.S. officials rarely make public, specific calls for another country to boost purchases of both U.S. and third‑party (Venezuelan) oil within a short window, so the baseline chance of such a statement by late November is modest (~30%).
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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