politics · resolves 2026-10-27
Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission announce the final list of candidates for the MPTC and ZPTC polls by 2026-10-27?
78%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, Indian state election commissions meet court‑ordered deadlines for publishing final candidate lists, so a ≈ 60 % chance they would do so on time. Latest evidence: Multiple Supreme Court orders between Oct 21‑22 pushed the publication deadline to Oct 25‑26, and the SEC has been extending nomination periods but has not indicated further delays beyond the court‑set date.
Based on 10 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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