business · resolves 2026-10-27
Will the Jio IPO close on 2026-10-27 with the Rs 2,500 cr RIL shareholder quota filled?
86%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, large Indian IPOs with a dedicated shareholder quota fill that portion about 60 % of the time. Latest evidence: By the final day (Oct 23) the Jio Platforms IPO was subscribed roughly 7‑8 times overall, with strong institutional demand and record‑breaking application numbers, indicating ample excess demand to cover the Rs 2,500 cr RIL‑shareholder reservation.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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