India · politics · resolves 2026-12-15

Will Neha Bora file an appeal to the Supreme Court against the Delhi High Court peace‑bond order by 2026-12-15?

78%chance, per Kāla

Why

Base‑rate: Historically, about 60 % of activists whose lower‑court petitions are rejected go on to file a Supreme Court appeal within two months. Latest evidence: The Delhi High Court rejected Neha Bora’s plea on 23 Oct 2026, and she has publicly vowed to continue fighting the order, making an appeal the most probable next step. What must still happen: She must file a petition in the Supreme Court before the 15 Dec 2026 deadline; there is no reported filing yet.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-24 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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