India · world · resolves 2026-12-10
Will Senator Rubio’s statement that US visa curbs are not aimed at India be reflected in a formal policy change by 2026-12-10?
15%chance, per Kāla▲ 1 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, U.S. immigration policy shifts take months to years, and statements denying targeted curbs rarely translate into immediate formal changes. Latest evidence: Rubio’s October 21 remarks reiterate that visa curbs are not aimed at India, and the November 2026 Visa Bulletin shows no easing for Indian EB‑2 or EB‑3 categories, indicating no policy adjustment so far.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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