India · politics · resolves 2026-12-01
Will the Delhi government report that more than 1% of Form 6s have been disposed of by 2026-12-01?
85%chance, per Kāla▲ 17 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, Delhi’s election officials have been slow to publish disposal figures, and early‑year reports usually show only a few tenths of a percent disposed. Latest evidence: By 20 Oct 2026 the Hindu reported only 0.27 % of 4.5 lakh Form 6s disposed, while an NDTV story on 21 Oct claimed 1 lakh (≈22 %) had been disposed – a contradictory claim that would already exceed the 1 % threshold if accurate.
Based on 6 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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