India · politics · resolves 2026-11-15
Will the Delhi GRAP‑1 Stage‑I air‑quality alert be extended beyond 2026-11-15?
51%chance, per Kāla▼ 12 pts since the last update
Why
The typical base‑rate for a GRAP‑1 Stage‑I alert in Delhi is that it is lifted within a few weeks, with roughly a 30 % chance it is prolonged beyond the initial two‑week period. The current reports only confirm the alert’s start on 21 Oct 2026 and give no indication of any extension plans. An extension would require a continued “poor” AQI forecast or a decision by the CAQM after the initial review period.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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