India · world · resolves 2026-12-12
Will the Delhi historic Race Course mosque be officially evicted by the Supreme Court ruling on 2026-12-12?
22%chance, per Kāla▼ 10 pts since the last update
Why
The historical base‑rate for Supreme Court‑ordered evictions of long‑standing religious sites in India is low, as courts often stay demolition orders pending further review. Recent reports (Oct 20‑21) describe a 6‑day eviction notice and political pressure but no final judgment; the Supreme Court has not yet ruled, and a decision is still pending for the Dec 12 hearing. Until that ruling is issued, the outcome remains uncertain.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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