India · politics · resolves 2026-12-01
Will the Election Commission confirm that the reported 500,000 Indian voters were removed from electoral rolls by 2026-12-01?
11%chance, per Kāla▲ 3 pts since the last update
Why
The historical base‑rate for the Election Commission publicly confirming a large‑scale removal of half‑a‑million voters by a specific deadline is very low; such announcements are uncommon and usually follow a major legal or political controversy. None of the available news sources from late October 2026 mention the EC confirming that 500,000 voters were removed, nor is there any indication of an imminent announcement before 1 December 2026.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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