India · politics · resolves 2026-12-01
Will the GRAP‑1 restrictions on diesel trucks in Delhi be lifted by 2026-12-01?
38%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, Delhi’s GRAP‑1 emergency air‑quality measures are lifted after roughly 2–4 weeks once the AQI falls back below the “poor” threshold. Latest evidence: As of 21 Oct 2026 GRAP‑1 was just imposed because the AQI hit 244; there are no reports of any improvement or of the measures being eased in the weeks that follow.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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