India · science · resolves 2026-12-01

Will the Indian Army receive its first dedicated communications satellite by mid‑2028 as announced, with a contract signed before 2026-12-01?

24%chance, per Kāla▼ 4 pts since the last update

Why

Base‑rate: Historically, India’s defence‑satellite programmes have often faced delays and contract finalisations, giving roughly a 20 % chance that a new dedicated army communications satellite would be both contracted by end‑2026 and delivered by mid‑2028.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-19 · 6 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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