India · politics · resolves 2026-11-30
Will the Indian Supreme Court rule that the Supreme Court’s authority to scrap public asset auctions is constitutional by 2026-11-30?
7%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, the Indian Supreme Court has rarely taken up novel constitutional challenges to its own procedural powers, so the prior probability of a ruling affirming the authority to scrap public‑asset auctions by the end of November 2026 is low.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-19 · 6 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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