India · politics · resolves 2026-11-10
Will the Supreme Court of India stay the CMRL-Exalogic corruption FIR probe beyond 2026-11-10?
20%chance, per Kāla▲ 2 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, the Supreme Court’s short‑term stays in high‑profile corruption probes are rarely extended beyond the initial period unless a fresh petition is filed and granted. Latest evidence: All reports from Oct 21‑23 show the Court limited the stay to a week (or at most ten days) and sent the matter back to the Kerala High Court, with no indication of a further extension.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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