India · world · resolves 2026-11-30
Will the U.S. Department of Justice file formal charges against the two Indian Green Card holders by 2026-11-30?
97%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base‑rate: Historically, once the DOJ publicly announces a group of green‑card holders as “charged,” the individuals named are indeed formally charged within days. Latest evidence: Multiple reputable outlets (Indian Express, Mint, The Guardian) reported on 20 Oct 2026 that the DOJ has charged 28 green‑card holders in California, including two Indian nationals, with election‑fraud offenses. This indicates formal charges have already been filed.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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