India · economy · resolves 2026-11-05
Will average Indian airfares increase by more than 10% for the Diwali travel season as reported on 2026-11-05?
68%chance, per Kāla▲ 50 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, about half of Diwali‑season forecasts predict a double‑digit rise in average Indian airfares. Latest evidence: A 2026‑10‑22 Economic Times article notes that “cheaper air tickets may remain a distant dream” because of persistently high aviation turbine fuel costs, a weaker rupee and supply disruptions, implying that fares are likely to stay high or rise further during the festive rush.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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