economy · resolves 2026-11-30
Will Bank Indonesia raise its policy rate above 5% by 2026-11-30?
Why
Base rate: Historically, Bank Indonesia’s benchmark rate has hovered around 5‑5.75 % in 2025‑2026, so a rate above 5 % is already the norm. Latest evidence — the 23 Oct 2026 Economic Times report shows BI defending a “policy mix” with an unchanged benchmark rate, suggesting no imminent hike but also no move to cut below 5 %. What must still happen: a clear shift in inflation or growth outlook prompting the governor to tighten further before the end‑November meeting.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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