India · business · resolves 2026-11-30

Will Carlsberg file its prospectus for a $700 million India IPO by 2026-11-30?

84%chance, per Kāla

Why

Base rate: Historically, large multinational spin‑offs in India file their prospectus within a few weeks of announcing intent, so the uninformed chance of Carlsberg filing by 30 Nov 2026 is modest, around 30 %. Evidence: Multiple reports on 21‑22 Oct 2026 say Carlsberg is “near public filing” and may file “as early as this week” with a December launch planned, indicating a strong likelihood the filing will occur well before the end‑of‑month deadline.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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