politics · resolves 2026-11-30
Will CJP leaders Saurav Das and Ashutosh Ranka withdraw any further legal challenge after their custody‑extension plea withdrawal by 2026-11-30?
22%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base‑rate: Indian political activists who have been jailed and released typically keep pursuing legal avenues, so the default chance they will *not* file any more challenges is modest (around 20‑30%).
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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