business · resolves 2026-11-05
Will General Motors report earnings per share above $5.00 for Q3 2026 on 2026-11-04?
71%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, about half of large‑cap automakers meet or exceed a $5.00 EPS target in any given quarter. Latest evidence: GM’s Q3 2026 results released on Oct 20 beat Wall Street expectations, with analysts having forecast earnings around $4.90‑$5.00 per share, and the company reported a “beat” on earnings. This suggests the actual EPS was at least $5.00, likely a modest amount above the threshold.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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