business · resolves 2026-11-15
Will HD Fire Protect's IPO be oversubscribed by more than 2× on its listing day 2026-11-15?
97%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base‑rate: Historically, about 70 % of Indian IPOs are oversubscribed by at least 2 × on listing day. Evidence: HD Fire Protect’s IPO was subscribed 131.70 times on its debut, far exceeding the 2 × threshold. What must still happen: The reported subscription figure must be accurate and not later revised.
Based on 4 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
India's week ahead, every Monday. The top forecasts, the biggest moves and last week's results, free by email.
Related forecasts
- Will the AP municipal poll final list be announced by the SEC before 2026-10-25? 16%
- Will the Fed’s October 2026 policy statement cite AI‑driven inflation as a primary concern? 4%
- Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission announce the final list of candidates for the MPTC and ZPTC polls by 2026-10-27? 78%
- Will the Jio IPO close on 2026-10-27 with the Rs 2,500 cr RIL shareholder quota filled? 86%
- Will Jio Platforms' IPO be listed on the NSE and BSE on 2026-10-28? 96%
- Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission extend the civic election nomination deadline beyond 2026-10-28? 82%
AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?