India · economy · resolves 2026-11-12
Will India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for October 2026, as released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) on 2026-11-12, be higher than 5.54% (the September 2026 rate)?
86%chance, per Kāla
Why
Recent trends show CPI rising for 11 straight months to 5.54% in September. Forecasts from the RBI, Trading Economics, Oxford Economics and major banks project October‑December inflation around 5.6‑6.0%, implying the October reading will likely exceed September’s 5.54%.
Based on 32 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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