India · economy · resolves 2026-11-20
Will India’s infrastructure output for September 2026 be revised upward to above 8% YoY by the Ministry of Statistics by 2026-11-20?
34%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, about 30 % of India’s monthly infrastructure‑output releases are revised upward in the next few weeks, and only a fraction of those cross the 8 % threshold. Latest evidence: The September figure was reported at 7.9 % on 21 Oct 2026 – just 0.1 pp below 8 %, and the data were already strong on coal, steel and refinery output, leaving little room for a large upward tweak.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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