India · economy · resolves 2026-11-01

Will India’s new duties on Chinese titanium dioxide imports be in effect on 2026-11-01?

79%chance, per Kāla

Why

Base rate: Historically, new anti‑dumping duties in India often take a few weeks to become operative, so a neutral prior probability of them being in force by a specific date a week later is modest (≈0.3). Latest evidence: On 24 Oct 2026 the Economic Times reported that India has re‑imposed anti‑dumping duties on Chinese titanium‑dioxide imports for five years following a fresh investigation, implying the measures are intended to take effect imminently.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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