India · economy · resolves 2026-11-14

Will India's Wholesale Price Index (WPI) year-on-year inflation rate for October 2026, as released by the Office of the Economic Adviser, be above 5.0%?

85%chance, per Kāla

Why

Recent September 2026 WPI inflation was 11.39% and expert forecasts (ICRA) expect October 2026 to reach about 12%. This strongly suggests the October rate will stay well above the 5% threshold.

Based on 24 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-17 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

India's week ahead, every Monday. The top forecasts, the biggest moves and last week's results, free by email.

Related forecasts

AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?