politics · resolves 2026-11-30
Will Israel hold its next parliamentary election on 2026-11-30?
4%chance, per Kāla
Why
Israel’s parliamentary election is scheduled for 27 October 2026, with extensive coverage of campaigns and voting logistics in late October. There is no indication of a postponement to 30 November, and moving an election that far would require a major legal or political shift that has not been reported. Therefore, the chance that the election will be held on 30 November 2026 is very low.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
India's week ahead, every Monday. The top forecasts, the biggest moves and last week's results, free by email.
Related forecasts
- Will the Delhi High Court grant a further 3‑day custody extension for NTK functionary Karthika after 2026-10-24? 67%
- Will the AP municipal poll final list be announced by the SEC before 2026-10-25? 16%
- Will the Fed’s October 2026 policy statement cite AI‑driven inflation as a primary concern? 4%
- Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission announce the final list of candidates for the MPTC and ZPTC polls by 2026-10-27? 78%
- Will the Indian Ministry of Railways publish the revised parcel‑fare discount schedule for the festive season by 2026-10-27? 42%
- Will the Jio IPO close on 2026-10-27 with the Rs 2,500 cr RIL shareholder quota filled? 86%
AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?