world · resolves 2026-12-05
Will Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu hold a second meeting with former US President Trump before 2026-12-05?
8%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base‑rate: Historically, Israeli prime ministers meet U.S. presidents only when the latter are in office or actively pursuing diplomatic initiatives; former presidents rarely get a second private meeting with a sitting Israeli leader.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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