economy · resolves 2026-11-16
Will Japan's Q3 2026 GDP (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized), as released by the Cabinet Office on November 16, 2026, be above 0.8%?
60%chance, per Kāla
Why
Japan’s Q1 2026 growth was 2.1% annualised and Q2 revised to 1.4% annualised. Forecasts for 2026 suggest modest but positive growth, and the recent slowdown is not expected to push quarterly growth below 0.8%. Hence a >0.8% reading is more likely than not.
Based on 37 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-19 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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