politics · resolves 2026-12-15
Will Jess Phillips’ Supreme Court challenge to the domestic abuse ruling be heard before 2026-12-15?
34%chance, per Kāla▲ 8 pts since the last update
Why
The baseline chance that a newly‑filed Supreme Court challenge in the UK is listed for a hearing within the next six weeks is modest – historically only about one‑third of such appeals get a hearing date that quickly. The only concrete evidence we have is a Guardian story on 21 October 2026 noting that Jess Phillips is hoping the Court will “see sense”, but it gives no indication that a hearing has been set before mid‑December.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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