business · resolves 2026-11-22
Will Netflix report earnings per share above the consensus analyst estimate in its earnings release on 2026‑11‑22?
52%chance, per Kāla▲ 30 pts since the last update
Why
Historically, Netflix’s quarterly EPS beats occur roughly half the time, giving a base‑rate around 0.5. There is no current news indicating a surprise catalyst or a clear miss ahead of the 2026‑11‑22 release. Thus, absent new information, the chance it exceeds consensus remains near the historical average.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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