business · resolves 2026-11-30
Will Paras Healthcare’s IPO close with at least 70 % subscription by 2026-11-30?
3%chance, per Kāla▼ 3 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically about 20 % of Indian IPOs fail to reach a 70 % overall subscription level. Latest evidence: Paras Healthcare’s IPO showed very weak demand – only ~15 % overall subscription by Day 2 and a muted response on the final day, with retail interest still far below the 70 % threshold. What must still happen: Subscription would need to surge dramatically on the last day, which is unlikely given the trend.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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