politics · resolves 2026-10-26

Will Rahul Gandhi appear before the special MP/MLA court in Uttar Pradesh on 2026-10-26?

81%chance, per Kāla

Why

The historical base‑rate for a high‑profile politician actually turning up after being summoned to a special MP/MLA court in Uttar Pradesh is roughly 70 %. Recent reporting (Economic Times [8] and Hindustan Times [9]) states that Rahul Gandhi has been specifically scheduled to appear before the Sultanpur court on 26 October 2026 to hear the verdict in his defamation case.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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