business · resolves 2026-12-01

Will Salesforce complete its $5.66 billion acquisition of Braze before the closing deadline of 2026-12-01?

8%chance, per Kāla▼ 10 pts since the last update

Why

Base rate: Historically, only a small fraction (~10‑15 %) of large tech acquisitions announced close within two months, especially when the stated timeline extends into a later fiscal year. Latest evidence: All reports from October 20‑21 2026 state the deal is expected to close in fiscal 2028, well after the 2026‑12‑01 deadline, and no indication of an accelerated schedule has been given.

Based on 6 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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