business · resolves 2026-12-15
Will Salesforce complete its $5.66 billion acquisition of Braze by 2026-12-15?
7%chance, per Kāla▼ 1 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, roughly 60 % of announced multi‑billion‑dollar tech acquisitions close within a year, but the chance of closing within just two months is much lower, around 20 %. Latest evidence: All reports from October 20 2026 state that the Salesforce‑Braze deal is expected to close in fiscal 2028, not in 2026, and no regulatory or shareholder approvals have been secured yet.
Based on 4 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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