technology · resolves 2026-11-05
Will SBI publicly confirm that the dark‑web data breach affecting ~3,900 customers has been fully contained by 2026-11-05?
14%chance, per Kāla
Why
The historical base‑rate for large Indian banks publicly announcing that a dark‑web breach has been fully contained within a few weeks is low (roughly 10‑20 %). The latest reports (Oct 21‑23) describe the breach, the investigation and customer notifications, but none mention a containment confirmation or a timeline for such a statement.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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