India · economy · resolves 2026-11-08
Will SEBI issue its final guidelines on terminal misuse for market intermediaries by 2026-11-08?
28%chance, per Kāla
Why
The historical base‑rate for regulators issuing detailed final guidelines within a two‑week window after announcing intent is low (around 20‑25%). Recent news reports (NDTV Oct 24 and TOI Oct 25) say SEBI is “rolling out initiatives” and “plans curbs” on terminal misuse, but they do not state that the final guidelines have been published yet. For the answer to be YES, SEBI would still need to finalize and release the guidelines before 8 Nov 2026.
Based on 5 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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