India · economy · resolves 2026-11-30
Will smartphone demand in India fall below 10 million units per month in November 2026?
32%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, India’s smartphone market has averaged well above 10 million units per month, with quarterly shipments typically in the 30‑40 million range (≈10‑13 million per month).
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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