India · economy · resolves 2026-11-15
Will the All India Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for September 2026, as released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) around mid-November 2026, show a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 6.0%?
55%chance, per Kāla
Why
August 2026 IIP showed strong 8% YoY growth and PMI indicates continued expansion, but expert forecasts suggest September may moderate to about 6%. The balance of evidence points to a slightly better than even chance of surpassing the 6% threshold.
Based on 24 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-17 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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