economy · resolves 2026-11-05
Will the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) vote to increase the bank rate at its meeting concluding on November 5, 2026?
74%chance, per Kāla
Why
Economists and market participants are broadly expecting a rate hike, with recent MPC minutes showing several members favoring an increase and inflation remaining above target. While some officials caution against over‑tightening, the balance of evidence points to a vote for a 25‑basis‑point rise.
Based on 31 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-17 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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