economy · resolves 2026-10-30
Will the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate, year-on-year (YoY), as reported in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release on October 30, 2026, be above 0.7%?
77%chance, per Kāla
Why
Recent data show Q2 2026 growth at 1.2% YoY and most forecasts for 2026 annual growth cluster around 0.8‑0.9%. This suggests Q3 is likely to stay above the 0.7% threshold, though some downside risk remains.
Based on 30 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-23 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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