business · resolves 2026-11-05
Will the final listing price of Reliance Jio IPO be set at or above ₹2,500 per share by 2026-11-05?
3%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, IPOs in India list close to the upper end of their price band, rarely more than 20‑30% above it. Latest evidence: Jio Platforms’ IPO price band is ₹1,065–₹1,119 per share, and all forecasts and GMP analyses point to a listing price near the top of that range, with no credible signal of a price anywhere near ₹2,500.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
India's week ahead, every Monday. The top forecasts, the biggest moves and last week's results, free by email.
Related forecasts
- Will the AP municipal poll final list be announced by the SEC before 2026-10-25? 16%
- Will the Fed’s October 2026 policy statement cite AI‑driven inflation as a primary concern? 4%
- Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission announce the final list of candidates for the MPTC and ZPTC polls by 2026-10-27? 78%
- Will the Jio IPO close on 2026-10-27 with the Rs 2,500 cr RIL shareholder quota filled? 86%
- Will Jio Platforms' IPO be listed on the NSE and BSE on 2026-10-28? 96%
- Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission extend the civic election nomination deadline beyond 2026-10-28? 82%
AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?