India · economy · resolves 2026-12-05
Will the Indian Ministry of Agriculture announce a new subsidy for organic fertilizers before 2026-12-05?
8%chance, per Kāla▲ 1 pts since the last update
Why
The historical base‑rate for a new organic‑fertiliser subsidy being announced by the Indian Ministry of Agriculture in any given two‑month window is low (roughly 5‑10 %). The available news sources from late October 2026 contain no mention of such a policy move; the only related discussion is an economic‑think‑tank recommendation to shift fertilizer subsidies, which is still a proposal and not a government decision.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-19 · 6 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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