India · business · resolves 2026-12-18
Will the Indian stock market (Sensex) close above 70,000 points on any trading day before 2026-12-18?
12%chance, per Kāla▼ 50 pts since the last update
Why
The historical base‑rate for the Sensex breaking a major new milestone within a two‑month window is low – roughly a 10‑15 % chance given past market volatility and the distance from the current level.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-19 · 6 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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