business · resolves 2026-11-22

Will the Jio Platforms IPO prospectus be declared fully subscribed by the regulator by 2026-11-22?

97%chance, per Kāla

Why

Base rate: Most large Indian IPOs that achieve full subscription on opening day are formally declared fully subscribed by the regulator within a few weeks, giving a baseline probability of about 0.7. Latest evidence: All major news sources report that Jio Platforms’ IPO was fully subscribed within 100 minutes on Oct 21 and remained heavily oversubscribed (5.57 ×) through the second day, indicating the regulator will have no reason to delay a “fully‑subscribed” declaration.

Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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