India · economy · resolves 2026-11-10
Will the RBI Monetary Policy Committee announce a rate hike at its meeting on 2026-11-10?
73%chance, per Kāla▲ 17 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: The RBI’s repo rate is currently 5.50% after a 25‑bp hike at the 21‑Oct meeting. Latest evidence: MPC minutes and the governor’s comments say further hikes are tied to the growth‑inflation outlook, and market expectations now see another 25‑bp increase in the December review, with two members already signalling support for continued tightening.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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